2021 Season: McLateral's Week 6 Boom/Bust (PPR)

(Photo Credit: Associated Press)

Malcolm McMillan (@McLateralFF)
The Lateral Editor

Usually, the introduction is something well-thought-out, poetic. A real insight into the style and headspace of the author. Of course, it also adheres strictly to the Associated Press Stylebook. No first-person writing except when writing a narrative. Though that too, is always intricately and finely woven. 

Well, it is Week 6, so forgive me if I get more prosaic. Herms had something come up that required me to tackle this week's "Boom/Bust" article solo. These things happen during the season-long grind. However, I have my dad's birthday to attend later today, so please, forgive any brevity you may encounter in this article. If it is any consolation, I have been told it (brevity) is the soul of wit.

Also, please forgive the verbose nature of this introduction. Clearly, I genuinely had nothing of substance, so I decided to have some fun with it. [Insert shrug emoji]

[EDITOR'S NOTE: The FantasyPros ECR projected points listed are those at the time of writing and may change as the week progresses as they are dynamic in nature.]

Week 6 Boom/Bust (PPR)

Week 6 Booms

Quarterback (QB)

McLateral: Justin Fields (Chicago Bears) [16.3 projected points]

The Green Bay Packers are not the easiest fantasy football matchup for quarterbacks. However, a couple things are working in Justin Fields's favor. First, the Packers give up a ton of passing touchdowns. Second, they were doing that with cornerbacks Jaire Alexander and Kevin King, who are now both out. Finally, with the Chicago Bears down to essentially just Khalil Herbert at running back Fields will have to win this game either with his legs or his arm. Either way, it should mean plenty of fantasy football points.

Running Back (RB)

McLateral: Chris Evans (Cincinnati Bengals) [4.9 projected points]

Cincinnati Bengals head coach Zac Taylor may say that Joe Mixon is fully ready to go for Sunday's matchup against the Detroit Lions, but I do not believe him. Even if he is though, there are still plenty of fantasy football points to be scored by the Bengals running backs. Only the Philadelphia Eagles have given up more fantasy football points to running backs than the Lions. Granted, most of that work has been on the ground and Chris Evans has been used only as a pass-catcher. However, with Samaje Perine out, Evans should have the opportunity to well outperform his Week 6 projection.

Wide Receiver (WR)

McLateral: Amon-Ra St. Brown (Detroit Lions) [10.0 projected points]

Are the Cincinnati Bengals a great fantasy football matchup for wide receivers? No. However, a closer look at why shows that it is largely due to allowing only four touchdowns. They get thrown on plenty. Luckily, Amon-Ra St. Brown has shown that he does not need touchdowns to be productive. The past two weeks he has seen eight targets per game and produced at least 13 fantasy football points in point-per-reception (PPR) formats. Expect him to do the same in Week 6, and a touchdown would have him easily smash this projection of just 10 PPR fantasy football points.

Tight End (TE)

McLateral: Gerald Everett
 (Seattle Seahawks) [4.3 projected points]

This projection feels like it is down more to Geno Smith taking over at quarterback for the Seattle Seahawks than Gerald Everett's recent absence due to COVID-19. While this is understandable, this writer remains convinced that Everett is part of the Seahawks' plans for their offense in 2021. Even with Smith at quarterback. Everett has already had two games with 10 or more PPR fantasy football points. Expect the Seahawks to still look his way in Week 6.

Defense/Special Teams (DST)

McLateral: Cleveland Browns [6.0 projected points]

If you listened to, "The Lateral Show: 2021 Week 6 P-P-P-Preview," you would know that I am down on the Arizona Cardinals this week. I think that the Cleveland Browns have a solid defense. I am also unnerved by the combination of the Cardinals offense slowing down last week, head coach Kliff Kingsbury being out with COVID-19 and quarterback Kyler Murray dealing with a shoulder injury. I am not saying to play the Browns defense, but they are my best bet for a boom performance in fantasy football.

Kicker (K)

McLateral: Randy Bullock (Tennessee Titans) [7.1 projected points]

Randy Bullock has been a bit hit or miss lately, no pun intended. He has already missed two field goals and an extra point for the Tennessee Titans this season. However, the Buffalo Bills may present a win-win matchup. If their defense continues to be good, Bullock may have plenty of field goals to kick. If the Titans finally get it going now that both A.J. Brown and Julio Jones are back healthy, then it should be a high-scoring game. Either way, Bullock should beat this projection.

Week 6 Busts

Quarterback (QB)

McLateral: Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals) [23.5 projected points]

Remember what I said earlier about why I like the Cleveland Browns this week? Well, those are the same reasons I am down on Kyler Murray this week. Murray is averaging just 18.6 fantasy football points per game over the past three weeks, and the Browns defense does not feel like a bounce-back opportunity.

Running Back (RB)

McLateral: Aaron Jones (Green Bay Packers) [18.7 projected points]

If the only issue was the Chicago Bears stout run defense, that would be one thing. Unfortunately, Aaron Jones has to contend with forces in his own offense in Week 6 in addition to the Bears. Fellow Green Bay Packers running back AJ Dillon is really starting to eat into Jones's workload over the past two weeks. Rushing attempts, targets, snap share, it is all trending up for Dillon at the moment, and it is showing in their fantasy football production. Dillon has outscored Jones in PPR fantasy football leagues by 2.8 points since Week 4. This trend makes Jones a highly likely candidate to "bust" barring a touchdown.

Wide Receiver (WR)

McLateral: Tyler Lockett (Seattle Seahawks) [14.8 projected points]

When Geno Smith came in for Russell Wilson in Week 5 against the Los Angeles Rams, Tyler Lockett essentially fell off the map. Maybe a week working together in practice will fix that issue, but I expect Smith to lean more on D.K. Metcalf than Lockett when it comes to the Seattle Seahawks wide receivers. It is just that simple.

Tight End (TE)

McLateral: T.J. Hockenson (Detroit Lions) [12.7 projected points]

T.J. Hockenson has had a rough time lately. At least in terms of fantasy football production. His targets have dipped significantly. Unfortunately for him, this has come as the Detroit Lions are playing better football. Am I suggesting that the Lions are better when they do not target Hockenson? Not at all. However, I am suggesting that the Lions are no longer considering Hockenson to be a vital target in the same way he was in Week 1 and Week 2. Quarterback Jared Goff is building a connection with his receivers, and Hockenson demands attention from defenses. I expect this trend to continue in Week 6, and for the—immensely talented—Lions tight end to have another disappointing week.

Defense/Special Teams (DST)

McLateral: Arizona Cardinals [6.3 projected points]

Again, I am just fading all the Cardinals this week. Could I eat crow? Quite possibly, but I am willing to take that chance.

Kicker (K)

Tyler Bass (Buffalo Bills) [8.8 projected points]

While I am bullish on the bounce-back potential of the Tennessee Titans offense this week against the Buffalo Bills, their defense should remain terrible. A repeat of Tyler Bass's Week 2 line against the Miami Dolphins would not shock me at all. If that happens, he is a bust for fantasy football. If he makes his lone field-goal attempt (like he did in Week 5 against the Kansas City Chiefs), then he still falls short of this projection.

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