2021 Season: McLateral's Week 11 Boom/Bust (PPR)

(Photo Credit: USA Today/Sports Illustrated)

Malcolm McMillan (@McLateralFF)
The Lateral Editor

No Sunday Preview Show this week, but boom/bust is back as promised. Honestly, the past couple of weeks have been weird, both for fantasy football reasons and personal ones. Still, the home stretch is in sight and there is nothing to do but power through it. Enjoy.

[EDITOR'S NOTE: The FantasyPros ECR projected points listed are those at the time of writing and may change as the week progresses as they are dynamic in nature.]

McLateral's Week 11 Boom/Bust (PPR)

Quarterback (QB)

Boom: Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) [17.7 projected points]

It has definitely been a mixed season for Tua Tagovailoa. Started slow, got injured, came back hot, got injured again and now it is time to see how he bounces back. The good news is he gets to play a Jets defense that is the worst in the league. Yes, they do not give up a ton of fantasy football points to the quarterback position, but that is mostly because quarterbacks do not run on the Jets defense at all. Expect that to change this week, with Tagovailoa running three to four times on average per game.

Bust: Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) [20.4 projected points]

The Minnesota Vikings have not been the easiest fantasy football matchup for opposing quarterbacks. On average they are giving up just 17.6 fantasy football points to the position, and while Aaron Rodgers is a future Hall of Famer that many rules (apparently) do not apply to, a tough matchup is a tough matchup. Add in a toe injury that is expected to linger for the rest of the season, and this will not be the week that Rodgers breaks out of his current fantasy football performance slump.

Running Back (RB)

Boom: D'Ernest Johnson (Cleveland Browns) [7.9 projected points]

This pick is a little risky, but the Browns clearly are using D'Ernest Johnson as their second back while Kareem Hunt is out. Yes, Johnson's two big games have come with Nick Chubb out as well, but he has seen at least seven opportunities per game since Week 7. The Detroit Lions are not just a bad team, but they are a bad team that allows running backs to rack up the fantasy football points. Even if Johnson is not involved heavily in a neutral game script, once this game shifts in favor of the Browns, Cleveland may lean on Johnson to end the game. Garbage time points are still points.

Bust: Jonathan Taylor 
(Indianapolis Colts) [18.3 projected points]

The Buffalo Bills are a terrible fantasy football matchup for opposing running backs. In nine games they have only given up five touchdowns to running backs, and are only allowing 3.675 yards per rushing attempt. Jonathan Taylor is great, but this may just be too steep a hill for even him to climb.

Wide Receiver (WR)

Boom: Marcus Johnson (Tennessee Titans) [8.7 projected points]

If you listened to this week's waiver wire episode of The Lateral Show, you would have heard me be lukewarm at best on the Titans wide receivers. However, I did some research for a Pro Football Mania article, and I am coming around on Marcus Johnson while Julio Jones is out. In three weeks where Jones was absent (Weeks 5,8 and 10) Johnson has seen five or more targets. While not amazing volume, it is enough that he could have an excellent performance against the Houston Texans defense.

Bust: Terry McLaurin 
(Washington Football Team) [16.0 projected points]

Terry McLaurin has been the definition of boom/bust this season. Three games with over 25 fantasy football points in point-per-reception (PPR) format, and six with less than 12 PPR points. Unfortunately, the Carolina Panthers are an incredibly tough matchup, and that is who McLaurin gets in Week 11. McLaurin is certainly a talented wide receiver, but until his quarterback improves, his fantasy football performance will be volatile. Expect a down week this week.

Tight End (TE)

Boom: Cole Kmet (Chicago Bears) [9.3 projected points]

Read my take on Cole Kmet's outlook for Week 11 in "A Week Too Early Waiver Wire: Week 10 Moves for Week 11." Everything I said there still holds true, and Kmet remains a great play this week. 

Bust: T.J. Hockenson 
(Detroit Lions) [12.2 projected points]

The Cleveland Browns are a slightly tougher than average fantasy football matchup for opposing tight ends. This is a problem for T.J. Hockenson given that his own team is not doing him any favors. While typically the primary target he is expected to be, there are occasionally games where he is simply not utilized (see last week). Add in that the Detroit Lions will be starting Tim Boyle this week, and a bust week seems all too likely for Hockenson.

Defense/Special Teams (DST)

Boom: Minnesota Vikings DST [5.4 projected points]

The Minnesota Vikings have quietly been a top-12 fantasy football defense/special teams unit. This game is in Minnesota, the Vikings playoff hopes are on the line, and as mentioned already, Aaron Rodgers is not 100% healthy. It is a risky play, but the most logical boom performance this week.

Bust: Philadelphia Eagles
 [6.6 projected points]

The Philadelphia Eagles have also quietly been a top-12 fantasy football defense/special teams unit. Unfortunately, they play New Orleans this week, and the Saints offense has been fine the past few weeks despite Trevor Siemian under center, Alvin Kamara injured, and two losses in a row. The Saints have been one of the worst fantasy football matchups this season, so stay away from the Eagles this week.

Kicker (K)

Boom: Chase McLaughlin (Cleveland Browns) [7.6 projected points]

Read my take on Chase McLaughlin's outlook for Week 11 in "A Week Too Early Waiver Wire: Week 10 Moves for Week 11." Everything I said there still holds true, and McLaughlin remains a great play this week. 

Bust: Greg Zuerlein (Dallas Cowboys
) [8.1 projected points]

Greg Zuerlein just came off the reserve/COVID-19 list two days ago. Yes, he is a professional, but a little rust would not be totally out of the question. Plus, the Kansas City Chiefs have not allowed many fantasy points to opposing kickers this season. It all points to a down week for the Dallas Cowboys kicker.


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